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A/B Test Looks Like a Win — Until You Check the Guardrail Metrics
You're A/B testing a prompt change for a coding-assistant chat feature.
The new prompt (v9) is meant to make the assistant propose code
changes more proactively. After a week at 10% traffic, the primary
metric — "user accepted the proposed code change" — is up 12% relative
to the control (v8). Someone on the team wants to ramp to 100%
immediately based on this result.
- Before ramping, what guardrail metrics would you insist on checking first, and what specific failure mode is each one meant to catch?
- Suppose the "tool-call error rate" guardrail metric is up 35% relative to control. Does this change your recommendation, and how would you investigate whether it's related to the prompt change?
- What would make you confident enough to ramp to 100% despite an imperfect guardrail picture, versus what would make you hold or roll back?
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