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Sizing a Model Under a Fixed Training-Compute Budget

Your team has a fixed pretraining compute budget of roughly C ≈ 3 × 10^23 FLOPs and is deciding between two allocations, using the approximation C ≈ 6 × N × D (N = parameters, D = training tokens):

  • Option A: N = 40B parameters
  • Option B: N = 8B parameters
  1. Solve for the training-token count D each option would use to spend the full budget C.
  2. Without doing any further training, explain which option is more likely to be undertrained relative to its size, and why that's a meaningful distinction from "which option has more capacity."
  3. Name one reason a team might deliberately choose the smaller, more-trained-per-parameter option even if a slightly larger model trained on fewer tokens scored marginally higher on a training-time loss metric.

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