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Is an LLM Matcher Worth It? A Back-of-Envelope
Your pipeline has 300 million candidate pairs after blocking. A LightGBM pair classifier is right on most of them. A teammate proposes sending the pairs to an LLM to decide "same entity?". Use these assumptions (placeholders for this exercise, not real quotes): 300 input tokens and 10 output tokens per pair, USD 1.00 per million input tokens, USD 4.00 per million output tokens, 1 second per call, 32 concurrent calls. Assume 2 percent of candidates (the grey zone, classifier probability between 0.1 and 0.9) are uncertain.
- Compute the cost and wall-clock time of (a) all candidates and (b) the grey zone only.
- What accuracy must the LLM have inside the grey zone to be useful?
- What other number caps the benefit of any better matcher?
- Recommend an architecture.
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