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False Corroboration Across and Within Sub-Agents
In a run of the worked example, sub-agent 3 (pricing and margin structure) reports "API inference margins are compressing roughly 30% year over year," citing an analyst report R and a blog post B that quotes R's figure. Sub-agent 4 (buyer motivations) reports "enterprise buyers cite cost as the primary driver," citing R's survey appendix and a news article N summarizing R. Both sub-agents marked their sources as consistent, so both analysis steps stayed on the cheap tier with high confidence. The drafted report says "multiple sources confirm" in both sections.
- Identify the two distinct failure modes hidden in this trace and explain why the ask-the-web-style dedupe a sub-agent runs on its own fetched batch handles one of them but structurally cannot handle the other. Include what went wrong with the per-sub-agent escalation decision.
- Design the aggregation-stage similarity check so it catches the cross-sub-agent case without over-merging: what should it compare, what should it collapse, and what should it explicitly not collapse? What happens to the two findings' confidence?
- Explain why the subject insists this happens before outline planning, and propose how provenance information could also feed back into Stage 2's escalation signal. Would sub-agent 3, once reduced to a single genuine source, escalate to the reasoning tier or not?
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